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"The best-selling author of Policy Paradox, a classic on politics, delivers a pathbreaking work on the simple act of counting. Early in her extraordinary career, Deborah Stone wrote Policy Paradox, a landmark work on politics. Now, in Counting, she revolutionizes how we approach numbers and shows how counting shapes the way we see the world. Most of us think of counting as a skill so basic that we see numbers as objective, indisputable facts. Not...
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When asked simple questions about global trends--what percentage of the world's population live in poverty; why the world's population is increasing; how many girls finish school -- we systematically get the answers wrong. So wrong that a chimpanzee choosing answers at random will consistently outguess teachers, journalists, Nobel laureates, and investment bankers. Professor and TED presenter Hans Rosling, together with his two long-time collaborators,...
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In Israel, pilot trainees who were praised for doing well subsequently performed worse, while trainees who were yelled at for doing poorly performed better. It is an empirical fact that highly intelligent women tend to marry men who are less intelligent. Students who get the highest scores in third grade generally get lower scores in fourth grade.And yet, it's wrong to conclude that screaming is not more effective in pilot training, women choose men...
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Did you know that baseball players whose names begin with the letter "D†? are more likely to die young? Or that Asian Americans are most susceptible to heart attacks on the fourth day of the month? Or that drinking a full pot of coffee every morning will add years to your life, but one cup a day increases the risk of pancreatic cancer? All of these "facts†? have been argued with a straight face by credentialed researchers and backed up with reams...
6) IBM SPSS
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We live in a world where information takes on a life of its own and spreads rapidly. Faster than ever before. For some people, their lives depend on obtaining a steady stream of information as it affects their lives in the most telling ways. The daily news is the simplest example of this phenomenon. It is truly the lifeblood of society and helps us evolve into better informed individuals with every passing day. As one can tell, information on the...
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Advanced statistics and new terminology have taken hold of baseball today, but do they accurately reflect the reality of the game? A baseball lifer states his case.
America's favorite pastime is enduring an assault of new thoughts and ideas. In recent years, the sabermetrics and analytics craze has infiltrated Major League Baseball-from its front offices to dugouts to clubhouses to media covering both, inciting a baseball culture war. New phrases...
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"Winner of the 2015 Bronze Medal in Economics, Axiom Business Book Awards" "One of The Wall Street Journal's Best Books of 2014" "One of Choice's Outstanding Academic Titles for 2014" "One of FA-mag.com's Books of the Year 2014" "One of "The Books Quartz Read" in 2014" "One of Minnpost.com's 'Three (plus) books for the econ buff on your list' 2014" "Longlisted for the Financial Times and McKinsey Business Book of the Year 2014" Diane Coyle is professor...
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Statistical Data Analysis is a very important field of data analytics. However, the reputable tools that facilitate people in perform such tasks are very few in number, and most of the time, the tools that are popular charge a subscription, making it even less accessible. But let's say that money is not a problem and you're an aspiring data analyst who wants to improve your skills using the popular IBM SPSS Statistics Client. Well, chances are that...
10) Statistics for Beginners: How easy it is to lie with statistics in business, social science, poli
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Big Brother is watching you. Discover how statistics can be used to control our society.
Have you ever wondered what your neighbor does every morning at 8:35 am, when you hear weird sounds coming from his balcony?
Did you ever realize that the "likes" you put on other people's Instagram account will influence the next summer collection of Zara, H&M, and Nike?
Are you aware that whenever you swipe your credit card in the supermarket, you are not...
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No matter your field, industry, or specialty, as a leader you make a series of crucial decisions every single day. And the harsh truth is that the majority of decisions-no matter how good the intentions behind them-are mismanaged, resulting in a huge toll on organizations, the people they employ, and even the people they serve.
So why is it so hard to make sound decisions? In Think Twice, now in paperback, Michael Mauboussin argues that we often...
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A mathematical guide to understanding why life can seem to be one big coincidence-and why the odds of just about everything are better than we would think.
What are the chances? This is the question we ask ourselves when we encounter the strangest and most seemingly impossible coincidences, like the woman who won the lottery four times or the fact that Lincoln's dreams foreshadowed his own assassination. But, when we look at coincidences mathematically,...
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We defy common sense and good judgment on a daily basis. Learn to tame your stupid brain.
We reason poorly, think incorrectly, and overlook the truth every single day. We can't be perfect, but at least we can be a little less wrong from time to time. Cure your mental glitches, blind spots, and errors in reasoning and logic.
Brain Blunders is a book that will get you to think about how you think. You are not so smart; in fact, humans are not so smart!...
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Most of us, no matter how rational we think we are, have a lucky charm, a good-luck ritual, or some other custom we follow in the hope that it will lead to a good result. Is the idea of luckiness just a way in which we try to impose order on chaos? Do we, live in a world of flukes and coincidences, good and bad breaks, with outcomes as random as a roll of the dice, or can our beliefs help change our luck?
‘What Are the Chances?’ reveals how psychology...
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Español
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En la actualidad vivimos en un mundo donde la información adquiere vida propia y se difunde más rápido que nunca. Para algunas personas, sus vidas dependen de obtener un flujo constante de información, ya que afecta sus vidas de la manera más reveladora. La noticia diaria es el ejemplo más simple de este fenómeno. Es verdaderamente el alma de la sociedad y nos ayuda a evolucionar hacia personas mejor informadas con cada día que pasa.
Como...
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Jerry Z. Muller is professor of history at the Catholic University of America and the author of many books, including The Mind and the Market and Capitalism and the Jews (Princeton).
How the obsession with quantifying human performance threatens business, medicine, education, government-and the quality of our lives
Today, organizations of all kinds are ruled by the belief that the path to success is quantifying human performance, publicizing the...
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For more than 50 years, SPSS has led data science and the statistical market, remaining at the forefront of the changing technological world. Simple and complex statistics can be done easily with IBM SPSS Statistics. "IBM SPSS: Tips and Tricks to Learn and Study about Statistics using IBM SPSS from A-Z" is designed to gain more in-depth and more meaningful knowledge from your data and predict what is likely to happen next. It will allow you to find...
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"An elegant and amusing account" of how gambling has been reshaped by the application of science and revealed the truth behind a lucky bet (Wall Street Journal).
For the past 500 years, gamblers-led by mathematicians and scientists-have been trying to figure out how to pull the rug out from under Lady Luck. In The Perfect Bet, mathematician and award-winning writer Adam Kucharski tells the astonishing story of how the experts have succeeded, revolutionizing...
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